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RESUMEN DE ACTIVIDAD SOLAR Y GEOFÍSICA
Product: Solar and Geophysical Activity Summary :Issued: 2020 Jun 25 0245 UTC # Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, # Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force. # Joint USAF/NOAA Solar and Geophysical Activity Summary SGAS Number 177 Issued at 0245Z on 25 Jun 2020 This report is compiled from data received at SWO on 24 Jun
A. Energetic Events Begin Max End Rgn Loc Xray Op 245MHz 10cm Sweep None
B. Proton Events: None
C. Geomagnetic Activity Summary: The geomagnetic field was quiet.
D. Stratwarm: Not Available
E. Daily Indices: (real-time preliminary/estimated values) 10 cm 067 SSN 000 Afr/Ap 007/005 X-ray Background <A1.0 Daily Proton Fluence (flux accumulation over 24 hrs) GT 1 MeV 7.6e+04 GT 10 MeV 4.7e+04 p/(cm2-ster-day) (GOES-16 satellite synchronous orbit W75 degrees) Daily Electron Fluence GT 2 MeV 1.20e+06 e/(cm2-ster-day) (GOES-16 satellite synchronous orbit W75 degrees) 3 Hour K-indices: Boulder 2 2 2 1 1 2 1 1 Planetary 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 2
F. Comments: None
RESUMEN DE LA REGIÓN SOLAR
:Product: Solar Region Summary :Issued: 2020 Jun 25 0030 UTC # Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, # Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force. # Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Region Summary SRS Number 177 Issued at 0030Z on 25 Jun 2020 Report compiled from data received at SWO on 24 Jun I. Regions with Sunspots. Locations Valid at 24/2400Z Nmbr Location Lo Area Z LL NN Mag Type None IA. H-alpha Plages without Spots. Locations Valid at 24/2400Z Jun Nmbr Location Lo None II. Regions Due to Return 25 Jun to 27 Jun Nmbr Lat Lo None
INFORMES DE EVENTOS SOLARES Y GEOFÍSICOS
ALERTA GEOFÍSICA - TEXTO WWV
:Product: Geophysical Alert Message wwv.txt :Issued: 2020 Jun 25 2105 UTC # Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center # # Geophysical Alert Message # Solar-terrestrial indices for 25 June follow. Solar flux 69 and estimated planetary A-index 3. The estimated planetary K-index at 2100 UTC on 25 June was 0. No space weather storms were observed for the past 24 hours. No space weather storms are predicted for the next 24 hours.
DESCRIPCIÓN DEL CLIMA ESPACIAL
CORONAGRAFO LASCO
FLUJO DE RAYOS X DEL GOES
GOES SOLAR ULTRAVIOLET IMAGER (SUVI)
PRONÓSTICO DE 3 DÍAS
:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2020 Jun 25 1245 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast
The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 1 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Jun 25-Jun 27 2020 is 3 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
NOAA Kp index breakdown Jun 26-Jun 28 2020
Jun 25 Jun 26 Jun 27
00-03UT 1 2 2
03-06UT 1 2 3
06-09UT 1 1 2
09-12UT 0 1 2
12-15UT 1 1 2
15-18UT 1 2 2
18-21UT 2 2 2
21-00UT 2 2 2
Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected. No
significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.
B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast
Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-16 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.
Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Jun 25-Jun 27 2020
Jun 25 Jun 26 Jun 27
S1 or greater 01% 01% 01%
Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.
C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast
No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.
Radio Blackout Forecast for Jun 25-Jun 27 2020
Jun 25 Jun 26 Jun 27
R1-R2 01% 01% 01%
R3 or greater 01% 01% 01%
Rationale: No R1 (Minor) or greater radio blackouts are expected. No
significant active region flare activity is forecast.PRONÓSTICO GEOMAGNÉTICO DE 3 DÍAS
:Product: Geomagnetic Forecast :Issued: 2020 Jun 25 2205 UTC # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center # NOAA Ap Index Forecast Observed Ap 24 Jun 005 Estimated Ap 25 Jun 005 Predicted Ap 26 Jun-28 Jun 005-008-005 NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 26 Jun-28 Jun Active 05/15/05 Minor storm 01/05/01 Moderate storm 01/01/01 Strong-Extreme storm 01/01/01 NOAA Kp index forecast 26 Jun - 28 Jun Jun 26 Jun 27 Jun 28 00-03UT 1 2 2 03-06UT 2 3 1 06-09UT 1 2 1 09-12UT 1 2 1 12-15UT 1 2 1 15-18UT 1 2 1 18-21UT 2 2 2 21-00UT 2 2 2INFORME Y PRONÓSTICO DE ACTIVIDAD SOLAR Y GEOFÍSICA
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity :Issued: 2020 Jun 25 2200 UTC # Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, # Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force. # Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast SDF Number 177 Issued at 2200Z on 25 Jun 2020 IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 24/2100Z to 25/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24 hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low on days one, two, and three (26 Jun, 27 Jun, 28 Jun). IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 24/2100Z to 25/2100Z: The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 463 km/s at 25/0255Z. Total IMF reached 5 nT at 25/1034Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -3 nT at 25/1944Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 179 pfu. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet levels on days one and three (26 Jun, 28 Jun) and quiet to unsettled levels on day two (27 Jun). III. Event probabilities 26 Jun-28 Jun Class M 01/01/01 Class X 01/01/01 Proton 01/01/01 PCAF green IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux Observed 25 Jun 069 Predicted 26 Jun-28 Jun 069/069/069 90 Day Mean 25 Jun 069 V. Geomagnetic A Indices Observed Afr/Ap 24 Jun 007/005 Estimated Afr/Ap 25 Jun 006/005 Predicted Afr/Ap 26 Jun-28 Jun 005/005-008/008-006/005 VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 26 Jun-28 Jun A. Middle Latitudes Active 05/15/05 Minor Storm 01/05/01 Major-severe storm 01/01/01 B. High Latitudes Active 15/15/15 Minor Storm 15/25/15 Major-severe storm 10/20/10
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